BrickLink responds to crowdfunding problems
Posted by CapnRex101,
BrickLink has issued a statement following issues with the first round of BrickLink Designer Program crowdfunding.
BrickLink’s response to feedback regarding the BrickLink Designer Program Round 1 of Crowdfunding
Thank you for the incredible interest you showed in the BrickLink Designer Program. We have been blown away by the response. As with any new endeavour, some things went well, and others don’t go to plan.
What worked
Based on our first round of crowdfunding, we believe the BrickLink Designer Program has strong potential. Your interest exceeds all our expectations. The portfolio of products is strong, and the designers are a joy to work with. We are looking forward to preparing for rounds 2 and 3.
However, there are a few things we need to address urgently with Round 1.
What needs to be improved
Thank you to everyone who has shared comments and feedback with us over the past week. While we understand many of you are frustrated, we are grateful for your quick and clear input. There are four areas we want to address:
- Site performance
- Limited production of 5,000 units of each set & ordering glitch
- Order limits of 5 sets per customer
- Shipping limited to countries serviced by LEGO.com
Site performance & server capacity
When the crowdfunding went live on Thursday July 1 traffic to the site overloaded BrickLink’s servers. This meant some users couldn’t place their orders in time and for many, the site ground to a halt. We apologize for any disappointment this caused. We are currently reviewing server capacity.
Limited production and ordering glitch
The limit of 5,000 units per set was based on the AFOL Designer Program run in 2019. For that release, we produced 2,500 sets which didn’t all sell out. We obviously underestimated the appeal of the Bricklink Designer Program sets and because of that, we will double the limit for future releases.
The high level of demand was compounded by the site performance issues. An ordering glitch meant that people were able to pre-order 5,000 additional Castle in the Forest sets, which means we’ve received orders for 10,000 sets.
We have talked to many of you in the community about how to address this and have decided on the following actions:
- Produce 10,000 of the Castle in the Forest sets so we can deliver to everyone who ordered.
- Re-opening pre-ordering for round 1 on August 3rd to allow the four projects Kakapo, Great Fishing Boat, Sheriff’s Safe and Pursuit of Flight to also sell up to 10,000 sets.
- Increase production for Crowdfunding rounds 2 and 3 to 10,000 each to meet demand.
We appreciate that this approach may not satisfy everyone, but we had to balance meeting users’ expectations with offering a fair outcome, so all designers had the chance to sell the same number of sets and the potential to dilute some of the exclusivity that comes with doubling the number of set available. We hope you understand.
Increasing production will delay shipping and future rounds of crowdfunding. Since we are doubling the production run, the additional 5,000 sets for Round 1 will be shipped in June 2022, as opposed to January 2022. This will also delay the release of Rounds 2 & 3. The final plan for this will be communicated at a later stage.
If, because of these changes, you wish to cancel the sets you’ve pre-ordered, please contact LEGO Customer Service.
Order limits of five per customer
We initially set the maximum order quantity at five per customer. Unfortunately, we saw a very small number of opportunistic customers hoarding sets and re-selling them for inflated prices. We’re disappointed by this as it wasn’t our intention to enable such behavior. We want everyone to have an opportunity to get a hold of a set, so going forward, we will set a maximum order limit of 1 set per customer. This will apply from when we re-open Round 1 to additional orders and to future crowdfunding rounds.
It’s important to point out that 75% of orders for Castle in the Forest were for one set– so we’d like to thank you for being considerate of other fans.
Shipping limited to LEGO Shop countries
We have decided to sell BrickLink Designer Program sets through the LEGO.com shop to give you a smooth shipping and support process. Unfortunately, this also limits the countries to which we can ship. For now, we plan to continue to use LEGO.com and not offer additional shipping destinations.
In summary
- For Round 1, we will increase the number of sets available from 5,000 to 10,000. Castle in the Forest has already reached this amount. The four other sets will re-open to additional pre-ordering on August 3rd , but it will not be possible to pre-order additional Castle in the Forest sets. The additional production run will delay in shipping and release dates for crowdfunding rounds 2 and 3.
- All future pre-orders will have a quantity limit of 1.
- Unfortunately, in the current LEGO.com setup we are not able to ship to additional countries.
Again, we apologize for any disappointment and hope that the steps outlined above go some way to address the concerns raised.
Thank you for your patience, feedback and support for the BrickLink Designer Program. We look forward to building a better experience moving forward.
Sincerely, The BrickLink Team
Were you affected by issues during round one and are you satisfied with this response? Let us know in the comments.
186 likes
168 comments on this article
Wow go Lego, they have actually listened to us.
How is it possible that the Castle did sell 10.000 copies as there was a limit at only 5000 copies…?
Wow.
Good to see!!! Great that they are acknowledging the scalpers. Hopefully they know this is an issue for some other sets too.
@Chilis_no said:
"How is it possible that the Castle did sell 10.000 copies as there was a limit at only 5000 copies…?"
I have no idea, but I did think it strange that it was still up after the first wave of website crashes. I don't think I would have been so lucky to grab one if not for that!
Seems like a very fair solution to me, not sure what else they could have done.
All around, it is a very positive and well reasoned response. Some still will not be happy, but at least TLG listened and acted. I wish the limit going forward was 2, but I am not at all fussed by that. If more fans/customers can get at least one set, all the better.
"All future pre-orders will have a quantity limit of 1."
I feel it's safe to assume that those who ordered more than 1 won't have them taken back
I have to say, there was a discussion about the BrickLink Designer Program during Fan Media Days and Fan Media representatives brought up every issue which would subsequently affect round one, evidently without success.
While I appreciate the willingness to improve things which were not working and honour the extra purchases of Castle in the Forest, such issues should have been anticipated beforehand.
Nevertheless, I am pleased that the problems are being rectified now.
This is a nearly ideal response imo. The fact that product is still limited is disappointing, but I don't know if making more than 10,000 of each set is doable for the bricklink team, especially since the extra 5,000 of each round 1 set are delayed 5 months (ouch).
I bet myself that the first comment would be a whinge about the number of Castle sets pre-ordered, but it was only the second!!
About exactly as expected. Not that it's a bad thing - just the ability for greater availability would be nice. Honestly, 10k is about all I'd want for sets like Pursuit of Flight and the Bird, but sets like Castle will probably still sell out a touch quickly for this.
Not sure about a limit of 1/per order unique, given there's more than a few households where multiple people have distinct collections. It's as good a solution as any though I suppose. I'm guessing they're using this second half addition as a test for the order speed or something.
And double checking, that limit of one set per is a one set of each, or you can only choose one out of the five to order and only get one copy? I'm figuring it's the former, but the text is somewhat unclear.
Incredibly odd that the Castle set sold 10k/5k. Makes the 30 minute window all the more dire in my view. And given 75% were individual buyers, that will probably only delay the sell-though period by an hour for that sort of set. Will have to see about the Fishing Boat when that reopens.
"Currently reviewing server capacity" when this has been an issue for literal years doesn't inspire much confidence. Props for increasing set numbers though, even if it feels ridiculous that doubling numbers means pushing delivery back 6 months.
Good call. I approve.
So Castle actually had 10k copies and it STILL went in less than an hour? Damn if that doesn't show the need for this theme's return.
Production constraints meant we were never going to get an unlimited number of these sets, doubling the production run seems a good effort.
One thing is for sure, when one set can cause a website to almost crash and cause a glitch selling double the sets available, are LEGO still going to tell us there is no demand for a Castle theme?
Hey, glad to hear an updated on the scenario! And quite quickly all things considered. Quite refreshing to see.
This makes me less anxious about missing out on certain sets in the later rounds knowing that there are 10,000 sets as opposed to 5,000!
@Chilis_no said:
"How is it possible that the Castle did sell 10.000 copies as there was a limit at only 5000 copies…?"
It explained in the post that there was an ordering glitch which allowed it to happen.
Good response from Lego.
My only suggestion is that if 10,000 sales hasn't been reached for a particular set then at a certain point people should be allowed to order more sets.
I think an initial order limit of 1 is fair. After some time (say 10 days), I think increasing the order limit to 2 or 3 is fair.
If they are going to increase the limits, they need to not cheap out and only make digital instructions. Heck, they need to do that regardless.
I'm with CapnRex101 totally on this. They could have known of these issues beforehand and tried to resolve them, yet didn't - as per usual.
Good thing they at least have done what they described to partially rectify the problem.
Funny though to read - again - how surprised they were about the popularity of the sets, especially the Castle.
They really seem to have a reality blocker installed in their collective consciousness as they constantly fail to realize how popular Castles still are and what a best-seller a new proper Castle theme would be. Not Nexo Knights or some other lame excuse of a theme but a proper one.
I hope one day they'll get it into those heads of theirs.
I mean, seriously, those 10K sets were gone worldwide in less than 35 minutes! And 75% percent of them apparently went NOT to scalpers thank God.
I kinda feel like this really shows a disconnect with their consumers.
I feel like Lego for adult buyers is really exploding. I don't say afol because Lego is making things off of licensees and other generic themes that people like and may get as a collectable.
This just shows the rise in desire for expensive sets... and the whole program makes me confused at what the actual ideas concept/process is... we get sets that feel less desirable and would get less sales then orhers... but here they are making them any way... idk
Like how many would they sell with no limits... more or less?
@bigginsd said:
"are LEGO still going to tell us there is no demand for a Castle theme?"
At what point did LEGO tell us there is no demand for a Castle theme?
@sirventricle said:
""Currently reviewing server capacity" when this has been an issue for literal years doesn't inspire much confidence. Props for increasing set numbers though, even if it feels ridiculous that doubling numbers means pushing delivery back 6 months."
It’s been an issue for LEGO, not Bricklink. They’re the ones managing that program, not LEGO. That’s why they issued the statement, and not LEGO.
@Shazbolt said:
" @Chilis_no said:
"How is it possible that the Castle did sell 10.000 copies as there was a limit at only 5000 copies…?"
It explained in the post that there was an ordering glitch which allowed it to happen."
That's not an explanation,
@CapnRex101 said:
"I have to say, there was a discussion about the BrickLink Designer Program during Fan Media Days and Fan Media representatives brought up every issue which would subsequently affect round one, evidently without success.
While I appreciate the willingness to improve things which were not working and honour the extra purchases of Castle in the Forest, such issues should have been anticipated beforehand.
Nevertheless, I am pleased that the problems are being rectified now."
It's as if the BrickLink team are completely oblivious to what has been happening with recent launches at Lego.com.
It is, however, good to see such a good response, clearly identifying the central issues and addressing each of them. That's one Lego themselves could learn from.
This whole process is simply not for me. To have missed the chance of a new Castle because I'm not prepared to mash keys and wail for several hours doesn't mitigate the disappointment that I won't get the set, but I have zero desire to hang on Lego Group's jumping on the crowdfunding bandwagon. This all leaves a bad taste in the mouth, and I'm just rather sad about it all.
@eiffel006
Keep in mind Bricklink has been acquired by LEGO some time ago, so technically the whole program is managed by LEGO. ;]
So when exactly is the increase from 5000 to 10000 sets for round one go into effect? I'm on the bricklink Designer Program pre-order page right now and still see 'sold out' and limits of 5000.
[edit] Ah cool, August 3rd - missed it in the summary earlier.
Also, bricklink has not addressed how these additional 5000 sets are going to be allocated to each region. Or are the additional 5000 in the pool available to all?
@MVives said:
" @bigginsd said:
"are LEGO still going to tell us there is no demand for a Castle theme?"
At what point did LEGO tell us there is no demand for a Castle theme?"
LEGO designers have said in several interviews that they love Classic themes but they need to sell them as one off sets through Creator or Ideas because they can’t support a full theme anymore.
https://www.brickfanatics.com/lego-designer-says-creator-3-in-1-is-the-new-home-of-retro-themes/
They haven’t had a full Castle theme since 2014.
I understand for non-Castle fans I sound like an irritating geek, just as I would feel if someone talked Bionicle or Classic Space. Even Pirates is understandable to me, despite liking it in my childhood, because there is only so many times you can do big ships and island forts. But Castle has a lot of ongoing play value. My 5yo son loves the sets I have and MOCs I have built in this theme, and we can talk about history in a general sense whilst he plays with it.
@DoonsterBuildsLego said:
" @CapnRex101 said:
"I have to say, there was a discussion about the BrickLink Designer Program during Fan Media Days and Fan Media representatives brought up every issue which would subsequently affect round one, evidently without success.
While I appreciate the willingness to improve things which were not working and honour the extra purchases of Castle in the Forest, such issues should have been anticipated beforehand.
Nevertheless, I am pleased that the problems are being rectified now."
It's as if the BrickLink team are completely oblivious to what has been happening with recent launches at Lego.com.
It is, however, good to see such a good response, clearly identifying the central issues and addressing each of them. That's one Lego themselves could learn from. "
Yes, I agree. Not sure how they can be so oblivious to demand, especially of certain sets and themes. Frankly, with THIS much demand for the Castle, they should upgrade it to an official Ideas set.
Isn't Lego still a family run private business that hasn't gone public? This could explain a few things.
@darkstonegrey said:
"So when exactly is the increase from 5000 to 10000 sets for round one go into effect? I'm on the bricklink Designer Program pre-order page right now and still see 'sold out' and limits of 5000."
3rd August, it's in the press release.
@DoonsterBuildsLego said:
" @darkstonegrey said:
"So when exactly is the increase from 5000 to 10000 sets for round one go into effect? I'm on the bricklink Designer Program pre-order page right now and still see 'sold out' and limits of 5000."
3rd August, it's in the press release. "
Yeah thanks, noticed it after I posted too.
@AustinPowers said:
"I'm with CapnRex101 totally on this. They could have known of these issues beforehand and tried to resolve them, yet didn't - as per usual.
Good thing they at least have done what they described to partially rectify the problem.
Funny though to read - again - how surprised they were about the popularity of the sets, especially the Castle.
They really seem to have a reality blocker installed in their collective consciousness as they constantly fail to realize how popular Castles still are and what a best-seller a new proper Castle theme would be. Not Nexo Knights or some other lame excuse of a theme but a proper one.
I hope one day they'll get it into those heads of theirs.
I mean, seriously, those 10K sets were gone worldwide in less than 35 minutes! And 75% percent of them apparently went NOT to scalpers thank God. "
Blame this on their pathetic marketing and research dept.
Agree that most of these issues should've been seen coming and something could've been done earlier, but the response is pretty good, - with the major exception that the castle was the only one I wanted, and once more I'm too late and it's immediately sold out!! I sort of get the whole they don't want uneven number of each set, but I'm still disappointed to miss out
@DavidBrick said:
"So if they are limiting it to 1 now does that mean all the people who order 5 castles will be canceled? Does that mean I can order 1 of them?
This puts a bandaid on a problem LEGO has had for a long time, they don't function well in the real world.
They should have preorders be open for X days, 7 or 10 or 30, whatever and then make the number of sets people ordered in those days."
No according the the post, no existing orders will be canceled. And no more additional sets of Castle in the Forest will be made available for pre-order. They’re only opening up the pre-orders again for the other 4, less popular sets.
Seems completely backwards if you ask me. They should add 5,000 more to all 5 sets. Who cares if Castle in the Forest has a max of 15,000 produced, and the other 4 have 10,000. It doesn’t have to be equal…
That comment that '75% of orders were for a single copy of the set' seems to sound better than it actually is. In the best case, assuming those other 25% of orders were for only two copies, that still means at most 60% of the actual copies of the set sold went to people ordering a single one. In the worst case, if those 25% of orders were for the maximum of 5 copies, it would mean that only 37.5% of the actual sets went to people ordering a single copy. (In reality, the actual percentage should be somewhere in between those extremes.) That, to me, seems to point to lots of potential scalpers.
I feel that the increase to 10K is less driven by comprehension of the issues and more by the glitch the resulted in 10K initial sales. Cancelling 5,000 orders would be very bad press on top of the initial issues.
@SuperSlacker said:
"That comment that '75% of orders were for a single copy of the set' seems to sound better than it actually is. In the best case, assuming those other 25% of orders were for only two copies, that still means at most 60% of the actual copies of the set sold went to people ordering a single one. In the worst case, if those 25% of orders were for the maximum of 5 copies, it would mean that only 37.5% of the actual sets went to people ordering a single copy. (In reality, the actual percentage should be somewhere in between those extremes.) That, to me, seems to point to lots of potential scalpers."
It may be worse, if someone bought five sets, but split them into 5 separate orders, it falls under this 75% of orders were for a single copy of the set. There's no conditional if people BOUGHT multiple times.
I got my USA order in about half way to 5,000 units sold on their tracker. Wonder if mine will ship January or June?
Regardless, we better see a new castle wave in 2023 ala Kingdoms + MMV, otherwise TLG is just beyond obtuse. Maybe some more castle-orientated Ideas sets too, but I'd rather get a full theme.
"It’s important to point out that 75% of orders for Castle in the Forest were for one set– so we’d like to thank you for being considerate of other fans."
This isn't as good as it first appears. Note that it says 75% of all orders were for one set, not that 75% of all units were sold to customers who only purchased one set. Why is that important? Because if it's the latter that means that of the 10000 sets, 7500 were sold to single unit purchasers, but for the former it means that less than 7500 were sold to single unit purchasers. Why? Because if some people are buying more than 1 castle, then that means fewer orders are needed to sell all 10000. If there are less than 10000 orders, that means less than 7500 castles were purchased by single-unit buyers.
So how many were sold to multiple-unit purchasers? We don't know exactly how many people ordered 2 sets, 3 sets, 4 sets, or 5 sets, but we can calculate the different scenarios (I had to break out some algebra to do the calculations below).
In the best-case scenario, let's assume that everyone who purchased more than 1 unit only purchased 2. So we know that 75% of the orders were for 1 castle and we're assuming that 25% were for 2. That means there were 6000 orders for 1 and 2000 orders for 2 for a total of 8000 orders. You can check my calculation since 75% of 8000 is 6000, and 25% is 2000, and so that accounts for all 10000 castles (6000 + 2000 * 2 = 10000).
If we instead assume that everyone who purchased more than 1 unit purchased 3, the numbers get even worse: there are now only 6667 total orders, 5000 of which went to single unit purchasers, and the other 1667 orders were for people who purchased 3.
In the worst-case scenario, where everyone who purchased multiple sets got 5 each, only 3750 castles go to single-unit buyers and the remaining 6250 go to multiple-unit purchasers.
We don't know the distribution of orders so we can't definitively say what the breakdown is. But you can see from the above that it would be pretty easy for at least half of the units to have gone to multiple-unit purchasers, which is significantly worse than the disclosed 75% number.
So what's the point? The ideal solution would have been to claw back those units that went above the 1 unit maximum. This would free up a substantial number of castles, at least 2000, and likely significantly more.
@SuperSlacker said:
"That comment that '75% of orders were for a single copy of the set' seems to sound better than it actually is. In the best case, assuming those other 25% of orders were for only two copies, that still means at most 60% of the actual copies of the set sold went to people ordering a single one. In the worst case, if those 25% of orders were for the maximum of 5 copies, it would mean that only 37.5% of the actual sets went to people ordering a single copy. (In reality, the actual percentage should be somewhere in between those extremes.) That, to me, seems to point to lots of potential scalpers."
Depends how you read the statement. I read it as 75% of the sets ordered (so 7500) were single orders, meaning between 1250 (2 each) and 500 (5 each) orders for the remaining 25%. That would mean as many as 93.75% of people ordered single sets.
@DoonsterBuildsLego said:
" @SuperSlacker said:
"That comment that '75% of orders were for a single copy of the set' seems to sound better than it actually is. In the best case, assuming those other 25% of orders were for only two copies, that still means at most 60% of the actual copies of the set sold went to people ordering a single one. In the worst case, if those 25% of orders were for the maximum of 5 copies, it would mean that only 37.5% of the actual sets went to people ordering a single copy. (In reality, the actual percentage should be somewhere in between those extremes.) That, to me, seems to point to lots of potential scalpers."
Depends how you read the statement. I read it as 75% of the sets ordered (so 7500) were single orders, meaning between 1250 (2 each) and 500 (5 each) orders for the remaining 25%. That would mean as many as 93.75% of people ordered single sets. "
I read it this way as well.
So...basically anyone that missed out on Castle in the Forest is still not going to be able to get one.
Bottom Line: "Oh you weren't able to order the Forset Castle? Go ask one of the people who ordered 5- that we're still not gonna do anything about."
They should be canceling every Forest Castle order with multiple units.
@The_Creator said:
" @DoonsterBuildsLego said:
" @SuperSlacker said:
"That comment that '75% of orders were for a single copy of the set' seems to sound better than it actually is. In the best case, assuming those other 25% of orders were for only two copies, that still means at most 60% of the actual copies of the set sold went to people ordering a single one. In the worst case, if those 25% of orders were for the maximum of 5 copies, it would mean that only 37.5% of the actual sets went to people ordering a single copy. (In reality, the actual percentage should be somewhere in between those extremes.) That, to me, seems to point to lots of potential scalpers."
Depends how you read the statement. I read it as 75% of the sets ordered (so 7500) were single orders, meaning between 1250 (2 each) and 500 (5 each) orders for the remaining 25%. That would mean as many as 93.75% of people ordered single sets. "
I read it this way as well. "
It seemed to me that this was phrased this way specifically to make it seem like this was what they meant to hide how bad it really was. If they meant 75% of sets went to single set orders, they should have said 75% of sets instead of orders.
After much more than a year of items constantly out of stock, GWP fiascos, grossly underestimating demand for "special" sets, and repeated IT failures, it's apparent LEGO is simply incapable of dealing with the issues their customers experience. I rarely look for sets anymore, so perhaps that's more for the rest of you, but my disposable income is going elsewhere now. I'm tired of being disappointed.
Hey so Im really bad at figuring out complex stuff, so can anyone tell me what I might need to do with my Kakapo? I have one ordered, and Im happy with it, but is there anything I might need to do to keep it or reorder it or am I all good to go?
If lego sells x number of sets at y price, but demand at price point y exceeds availability, then people will resell sets at a markup of z. If lego does not want this to happen they can do two things. First, they can produce sets in such a quantity that the last set sold at y price satisfies all demand. Second, they can increase the price to somewhere between x and x+z such that demand for sets at that price = 5000. Selling sets at a premium is the opposite of discounting, and is still the balancing of supply and demand. If you do not get upset at discounts, why do you get upset at premiums?
Lego does not have perfect market knowledge and this is the inevitable result, no sense getting upset about ‘scalpers’
So it looks like I'll still have to try to part out Castle in the Forest after all, oh well. Hopefully I'll manage to get it in my hands someday.
I'm seeing a lot of people saying LEGO should bring back Castle and I wholeheartedly disagree. Castle 2013 was a highly juniorized and critically panned run, similar to BIONICLE Gen 2 and Pirates 2015. Reboots are often aimed at LEGO's target demographic (children) and lack appeal to the AFOL's demanding it, leading to poor sales and even bigger gaps in the market 'till the next attempt at the franchise.
A part of why Castle is doing so well right now is it's limited run. By putting out one Castle set every half a year LEGO basically guarantees a sale as they aren't oversaturating the market. Similar to how Winter Village is seen as an annual celebration I'd love if Castle sets became a biannual celebration, with us on the edge of our seats for what two factions get produced each year, and each January and June bringing us a new and exciting entry.
Not really happy about the solution. I appreciate the effort, but it is someway unsatisfying.
The "best seller set", the castle, was sold out in few tenth minutes and it is the only one that will not receive a second round. Instead then second fan's desires, they decided that for some type of "par condicio" among sets the most desired one will remain desired only.
The main problem is that limited stock of highly desired products is a bad idea, and LEGO should have learned the lesson after the problems and the complaints related to VIP redemptions.
Let's say the truth, the only effect is to attract scalpers, a plague that in the last time is affecting many markets and certainly is not a news for LEGO products.
@The_Creator said:
"Regardless, we better see a new castle wave in 2023 ala Kingdoms + MMV, otherwise TLG is just beyond obtuse. Maybe some more castle-orientated Ideas sets too, but I'd rather get a full theme."
Kingdom+MMV+ Heroica. Regular knights and armies + civilians + RPG-esque adventurers (rangers, thieves, mages, etc).
I think this is a reasonable response. Yes, they should have expected the demand for these sets, particularly with how much they have marketed the designer program, but they were only expecting 5000, which seems considerably low. I’m surprised 10000 orders for the castle were submitted, but I’m glad they are meeting that amount, even if it won’t be for another year that they get them, which probably means they won’t be reselling unfortunately.
Im glad they’ve decided to increase the other sets to 10000 as well. Although I’m saddened I won’t be able to obtain the Castle in the Forest set, I’ll move on. I’m glad they’re making the maximum quantity of one per set, this is definitely needed for the more desirable sets. However, like a few others have said already I would think they could easily implement a situation in which if a set doesn’t “sell out” within a certain time (maybe 2 weeks or a month?) then buyers have the option to obtain multiple.
Regardless, the site issues are inexcusable, and have become a tiresome experience with LEGO. They keep saying they don’t expect this kind of demand, yet they haven’t improved at all. Something needs to change. They’re the number one toy company in the world, we expect better.
They should release an extra 5,000 of the castle set along with the rest on August 3. I know this would put the castle set at 15,000 compared to 10,000 of the others but at least it would give a chance for people to purchase it in a fair way without the scourge of scalpers buying 5 at a time.
And as others have pointed out, Bricklink only mentions how many sets were for orders of 1 or more than 1. What makes the real difference is how many of those orders for more than 1 were for the maximum of 5. If most of them were the max then that would mean that the majority of the orders went to potential scalpers. I imagine the Bricklink people know that the metric that counts is average quantity of sets ordered per order, not just the number of orders over 1. The fact that they specified orders in this statistically idiotic way infers to me that most of the orders over 1 were for 5 and they simply needed to skew the meaning to save face and falsely suggest that a large percentage didn't go to scalpers. We all know how bad scalping is on limited Lego sets, and for them to try to game the stats is offensive.
They had all of the opportunity in the world to be in the good graces of the LEGO community by admitting to their faults, but instead of being 100% frank and open they chose to be guarded and sugar coat the faults in a way that is likely misleading. To me, this kind of shadiness is far worse than the original misguided results that resulted in this.
Some good, fair results from listening to feedback and acting on them. This should make the process for future rounds smoother and fairer and not the blood sport we were anticipating after round 1.
Sounds like they are at least trying.
A step in the right direction I think.
At least they have listened now. I do wish they had listened BEFORE round one, lets just hope the changes make round two fairer.
So how do we know if our Castle order will be fulfilled in January or June?
And does LEGO plan on keeping credit card orders open for almost a year?
@ericb_ said:
"I'm quite surprised by some of these responses. If nobody had complained about not getting a set they wanted, then what problem would there have been to solve? But, of course, many people did complain. Instead of solving the problem themselves or deciding to move on, they placed the blame for their predicament onto others. Someone else had to come up with a solution.
There was a lot of discontent toward those with a desire to own an exclusive set. What feeling do you have toward those who complain when they don't get what they want?"
How can we "solve the problem ourselves"? Why should all the folks who are interested in castles have to "move on" just because the only way Lego produces decent castle sets is limited edition? The 3-in-1 set looks reasonable but doesn't really appeal to me. The 3-in-1 sets just have too many compromises for my tastes.
@CapnRex101:
I don't have a very high opinion of the people running Bricklink these days. They ran a Q&A session at Brickworld a few years ago (after parting ways with Alice Finch), and it quickly became obvious that they were standing in front of us saying, "We have listened to and understand all the upgrades you want us to implement, but instead we're going to launch a new initiative targeted at customers who shop on sites other than Bricklink." A few years back, they announced that they were doing away with off-site Paypal (which is the only form of payment that many of us used), and then went radio silent barring one admin's smiley emoji posted in response to a joke in a thread full of panicked customers. The pushback was so immense that they ended up having to back off of their plans...which then they quietly reinstated when nobody was looking. Oh, and they're still running the frankencode that got hacked into oblivion, _TWICE_. I'm not touching onsite Paypal payments to save my life. Until I figure out an alternative payment solution, this basically means I've had to cut myself off from using Bricklink, and have, for the first time ever, considered jumping ship for their direct competitor. The only reason I even tried to get in on this program was because I found out all the orders were being processed through the LEGO site.
@FoolECK:
That's true...but Bricklink still operates as a stand-alone entity for the most part. Currently the only major changes I'm aware of are that they now charge sales tax on Bricklink orders, they eventually followed through on their threat to "deprecate" off-site Paypal payments so as to funnel all sales tax through the site where it can be collected by Bricklink (which I understand has made payment logistics a nightmare for business sellers who also do brick-and-mortar sales under the same business), and they tapped into the apparently more robust LEGO.com system to process these orders (which probably saved the Bricklink servers from disappearing in a puff of smoke).
@magykfyre said:
"Good to see!!! Great that they are acknowledging the scalpers. Hopefully they know this is an issue for some other sets too."
I ended up with more than one castle set do to a glitch in the system as well. If the glitches are fixed, that should make it even easier.
I still wish they’d bring back the Europa theme, and that never existed in the first place.
I’m more than happy with the response. I don’t believe we were owed anything but I do very much appreciate the attempt at reasonably explaining how we got here and how they’ll try to improve things going forward. Increasing the sets to 10k and resetting the limit to 1 are good ideas. Based on the 6 month delay for the 2nd batches, I think we can all now better appreciate their current production situation.
For those hoping for cancellations or reductions on previous orders, it was never going to happen. The orders were placed in good faith and according to the guidelines set. Any retconning would result in litigation not to mention bad pub.
For those number crunching, I can promise you that the 75% single set orders was the best way they could spin the data. If a better number presented itself, they would have rephrased. Clearly, a big portion of castles are destined to ship with friends.
IMHO, this program is clearly a loss leader love letter to AFOLs and I’m worried it’s sloppy execution and our first world entitlement are going to limit if not eliminate future opportunities.
So basically we can’t get Castle. Lol
@chromeboy2k said:
" @Shazbolt said:
" @Chilis_no said:
"How is it possible that the Castle did sell 10.000 copies as there was a limit at only 5000 copies…?"
It explained in the post that there was an ordering glitch which allowed it to happen."
That's not an explanation, "
As a professional coder, let me explain. When web servers crash due to overwhelming demand, WEIRD stuff happens. The web server can't keep up with requests and often things get jumbled in memory on the back end if you haven't coded things properly. They didn't code things properly and that resulted in double the number of sets being sold.
TL;DR: Someone messed up.
@DoonsterBuildsLego said:
" @SuperSlacker said:
"That comment that '75% of orders were for a single copy of the set' seems to sound better than it actually is. In the best case, assuming those other 25% of orders were for only two copies, that still means at most 60% of the actual copies of the set sold went to people ordering a single one. In the worst case, if those 25% of orders were for the maximum of 5 copies, it would mean that only 37.5% of the actual sets went to people ordering a single copy. (In reality, the actual percentage should be somewhere in between those extremes.) That, to me, seems to point to lots of potential scalpers."
Depends how you read the statement. I read it as 75% of the sets ordered (so 7500) were single orders, meaning between 1250 (2 each) and 500 (5 each) orders for the remaining 25%. That would mean as many as 93.75% of people ordered single sets. "
It clearly said “orders”, not “set”. Meaning a large % of the sets (like well over 50%) will be going to the people who bought 2+ sets. Epic f-ing fail to not rectify this and allow others to get Castle.
@PDelahanty said:
" @chromeboy2k said:
" @Shazbolt said:
" @Chilis_no said:
"How is it possible that the Castle did sell 10.000 copies as there was a limit at only 5000 copies…?"
It explained in the post that there was an ordering glitch which allowed it to happen."
That's not an explanation, "
As a professional coder, let me explain. When web servers crash due to overwhelming demand, WEIRD stuff happens. The web server can't keep up with requests and often things get jumbled in memory on the back end if you haven't coded things properly. They didn't code things properly and that resulted in double the number of sets being sold.
TL;DR: Someone messed up."
It also smells like a real glitch because it’s exactly double. I could make a guess that there was a tally somewhere that had the 5000 limit, but it wasn’t passed to where it needed to go. The number was then reset after hitting the limit, or they caught it somewhere during the second time around and it was allowed to go to 5k again.
I agree, code is weird.
If the *glitch* was counting orders instead of sets, then it would suggest that 1250 orders would account for 6250 of the sets sold = exactly 5 sets per order for those 1250 orders.
@PDelahanty :
I’m pretty sure that Bricklink’s code is held together with masking tape and baling wire, and I know they don’t fully understand it because the guy who wrote it passed away years ago. They haven’t done a ground-up rebuild of the site, though that has apparently been promised by their parent company. When the site was hacked the first time, they said they didn’t know how the hacker got in, patched up the damage as best they could, and reopened. Two years later, same problem, same explanation, same solution.
However, orders were being processed through S @H , which, sadly enough, is a remarkably more stable platform (I mean, it crashes, but never badly enough to keep the entire site offline for several days in one stretch), and not really known for overselling limited stock by a 100% margin like this. 10k is also a number that holds special meaning for the Ideas program in general. This may well have just been a case where someone accidentally...or “accidentally”...punched in 10k for the Castle, and 5k for the remaining six projects. Maybe they all got entered in the system with a 10k limit, and the other six got reduced to 5k while the Castle got missed.
Really glad to see that Lego is reopening this, making it fair to limit each of the 5 to one per account. Allows people to collect all 5 and limits scalpers. And glad that they are listening to fans and taking this to heart. Gotta learn from mistakes and they are actually trying.
I’m still a bit shocked they compared this to the BrickLink designer program of the past. Those were random sets they decided to produce at inflated costs. These were ideas sets that didn’t make it but have a second chance for the fans. Big difference. Plus timing is huge. A year or new fans with the pandemic crowd still at home and people collecting things has gone way up. In the end, really glad to see a company actually listen to the fan base. Nice job @lego
As someone who never expected to be able to buy the Castle set, I'm very satisfied with this response. No, there's no way they could refuse to honor orders made in accordance with the rules in place originally. They have now taken the best precaution available to them to prevent scalping. I hope that they'll be willing to relax the limit for relatively unpopular sets after ten days or two weeks, as has been suggested in many earlier comments, but a limit of one shows they're serious about letting as many people as possible get a set they want.
Given the prices they're charging, I doubt TLG expected to make much money on this group of sets, and now they'll be devoting twice as many resources as they expected to it. I think they deserve praise for that, not more complaining.
I feel for those of you not able to buy the Castle. So I have decided to reduce my resell price from USD1500 per set to USD1000 on eBay. Hurry and get it before they’re gone. I only have 10! (Used 2 accounts)
It’s an interesting response but a little surprising. The first Bricklink program was nothing like this one. It did not utilize Ideas sets that had already achieved 10,000 supporters. I don’t recall there being a rigorous process of testing out the sets for strength. And it was advertised on Bricklink and Bricklink alone (yes, I’m sure it was here on Brickset, but it was nowhere on Lego’s site).
Now we are getting successful Ideas set and advertising this program on a huge platform like Ideas. I can tell you that it was Ideas that got me out of my dark ages when I bought the Beatles set, and I’ve been a member of Ideas since purchasing that set. Brickset came later, and Bricklink after that (I used pick a brick to design my first Ideas submission).
My point is, using the previous program to gauge demand is like comparing apples to oranges. These sets were not only better advertised, but already popular and much more highly polished. Truthfully, these sets are on par with actual Ideas sets, while the initial program were sets I probably could have designed myself.
As for the solution here, it appears to be implemented strictly out of fairness to each designer due to a glitch on one project. However, this is rather absurd as there is no fairness. Scalpers we’re able to buy during this first round which would have no doubt led to increased sales in the other 4 sets. Without scalpers it is unlikely that other sets will reach 10,000 given that the Kakapo is still available somewhere, and no doubt scalpers purchased that set as well when they learned that the Kiwis could no longer get it.
I do think that Bricklink is doing the right thing with these changes, I just think that they may be doing them for all the wrong reasons, which does not bode well for problems in the future.
I think the biggest positive about this is that they sold 10,000 castle sets in a matter of minutes (interesting that they only announced this secret glitch in response to unrelated complaints). While I don’t expect Lego to revive the theme based on this, I do hope that this leads to them approving some actual castle Ideas in the future. So far all we got is a Blacksmith, which not only looks absurdly large next to a castle, but is NOT even a castle. I think that a new castle set from Ideas every few years would be wonderful as it would make it manageable to buy every set while at the same time ensuring that each set is unique in its own way. Reviving the theme would not only result in numerous similar sets, but it would over saturate the market resulting in poor sales.
Of course what is completely lacking in this solution, for those of us like me who are in the 75%, when will we get our castles. Personally I don’t care when, but I would like to know when is.
@alfred_the_buttler said:
"It’s an interesting response but a little surprising. The first Bricklink program was nothing like this one. It did not utilize Ideas sets that had already achieved 10,000 supporters. I don’t recall there being a rigorous process of testing out the sets for strength. And it was advertised on Bricklink and Bricklink alone (yes, I’m sure it was here on Brickset, but it was nowhere on Lego’s site).
Now we are getting successful Ideas set and advertising this program on a huge platform like Ideas. I can tell you that it was Ideas that got me out of my dark ages when I bought the Beatles set, and I’ve been a member of Ideas since purchasing that set. Brickset came later, and Bricklink after that (I used pick a brick to design my first Ideas submission).
My point is, using the previous program to gauge demand is like comparing apples to oranges. These sets were not only better advertised, but already popular and much more highly polished. Truthfully, these sets are on par with actual Ideas sets, while the initial program were sets I probably could have designed myself.
As for the solution here, it appears to be implemented strictly out of fairness to each designer due to a glitch on one project. However, this is rather absurd as there is no fairness. Scalpers we’re able to buy during this first round which would have no doubt led to increased sales in the other 4 sets. Without scalpers it is unlikely that other sets will reach 10,000 given that the Kakapo is still available somewhere, and no doubt scalpers purchased that set as well when they learned that the Kiwis could no longer get it.
I do think that Bricklink is doing the right thing with these changes, I just think that they may be doing them for all the wrong reasons, which does not bode well for problems in the future.
I think the biggest positive about this is that they sold 10,000 castle sets in a matter of minutes (interesting that they only announced this secret glitch in response to unrelated complaints). While I don’t expect Lego to revive the theme based on this, I do hope that this leads to them approving some actual castle Ideas in the future. So far all we got is a Blacksmith, which not only looks absurdly large next to a castle, but is NOT even a castle. I think that a new castle set from Ideas every few years would be wonderful as it would make it manageable to buy every set while at the same time ensuring that each set is unique in its own way. Reviving the theme would not only result in numerous similar sets, but it would over saturate the market resulting in poor sales.
Of course what is completely lacking in this solution, for those of us like me who are in the 75%, when will we get our castles. Personally I don’t care when, but I would like to know when is. "
I could see a good business argument to be made to partially bring back a number of old themes, but limit them to 1 (2 max) similar to the Modular series. Have a Pirates, Old Space, Castle theme and include one expensive one a year in the $100-200 range for Adults. If you do 2, than a cheaper one of $25-75 six months after more focused on toy/playablity.
They could even have "Catch-all" theme that includes more random modernized versions like Atlantis, Aquazone etc. if they were popular enough. They want fan engagement? Have this particular theme be voted on EVERY YEAR.
Doubt they'll ever do this - but they'd basically print money if they did.
@bigginsd said:
" @MVives said:
" @bigginsd said:
"are LEGO still going to tell us there is no demand for a Castle theme?"
At what point did LEGO tell us there is no demand for a Castle theme?"
LEGO designers have said in several interviews that they love Classic themes but they need to sell them as one off sets through Creator or Ideas because they can’t support a full theme anymore.
https://www.brickfanatics.com/lego-designer-says-creator-3-in-1-is-the-new-home-of-retro-themes/
They haven’t had a full Castle theme since 2014.
I understand for non-Castle fans I sound like an irritating geek, just as I would feel if someone talked Bionicle or Classic Space. Even Pirates is understandable to me, despite liking it in my childhood, because there is only so many times you can do big ships and island forts. But Castle has a lot of ongoing play value. My 5yo son loves the sets I have and MOCs I have built in this theme, and we can talk about history in a general sense whilst he plays with it."
I remember reading an article in Block magazine about how advertising changed the way that LEGO does themes. The nature of products for kids these days means that you need to cover multiple outputs - video games, books, merch, TV shows - with something vaguely story driven, hence Ninjago and Monkie Kid (and even Chima to an extent). From that point of view I can see why non-licensed themes like Castle or Space would struggle to get off the ground in a board meeting. In fact - when was the last new, non-licensed, non-story driven LEGO theme? 2015 Pirates?
This seems like a sensible response to the problems though. It sounds like those who did manage to get an order in will still get the sets by January 2022?
You should include a hyperlink to this Bricklink crowdfund site in the article. I found the site through a google search. Still shows 5k limit on each set. Whenever they update it to 10k, I hope I have a chance to purchase a Castle in the Forest set. Given the history of Lego with things like VIP though, I have a bad feeling I'll simply miss out like always.
So the Castle in the Forest will still be selling for $1,000 on eBay, and all of us that missed it even though I was trying to buy it but because of there systemic web service issues I STILL CAN’T! Again total disconnect of Lego not having a clue of what their fans want, not realizing that now is the time to bring Castle or a fantasy castle back and take advantage of this. Back to army building off BAP…
@yacoub said:
"I found the site through a google search. Still shows 5k limit on each set. Whenever they update it to 10k, I hope I have a chance to purchase a Castle in the Forest set. Given the history of Lego with things like VIP though, I have a bad feeling I'll simply miss out like always."
They aren’t producing anymore of the castle, so unfortunately you already missed out.
I could not order the Fishing Boat because out was gone for my region (but still available in other regions). Frustrating, another Ulysses experience for me. If the region matters and servers are limited why not set up different dates for different regions to hunt for those sets?
>>They aren’t producing anymore of the castle, so unfortunately you already missed out.
Well the hell with them then. They screw us with VIP and now they screw up BrickLink. What a trash legacy they're creating with AFOLs with their "exclusive" BS.
Well I'm 75% happy with Bricklink's response (see what I did there?). It's good that they are doubling the limit to 10000 for rounds 2 and 3, as well as for the boat, safe, planes and kakapo. What isn't quite so great, is that they are over-correcting by lowering the limit per account to 1 per set, because surely 2 would be better (some people like to keep one sealed and open the other, or they have one for themselves and one for the kids). Also there's the response of "yeah, we're not increasing the number of countries," which I personally think is silly (especially for people in Japan for instance, where they have official LEGO Stores). What I'm least happy about though is how they've addressed the "Castle In The Hill" issue. Firstly, an "ordering glitch" caused LEGO's official store to register DOUBLE the number of orders? That's an enormous and concerning glitch (I'm a computer repair engineer btw), that seriously needs addressing. Secondly because of Bricklink and LEGO's own fault, NOT the fault of the Fans, 10000 Castle In The Hill sets were ordered, which they have to honour (of course), but now they refuse to produce any more. Only Bricklink and LEGO knew about the glitch until this official response, therefore as far as everyone knew, 5000 sets sold out in just over 30 Minutes, and there are now many fans who are being penalised/prevented from ordering one (who here thinks that if Bricklink and LEGO put the limit for the castle set at 15000, they would all sell, and only the minority would complain? And to clarify I didn't want to order one). On a related note, I find it interesting that Bricklink didn't bring up the issue (and I'm sure enough people raised it), of setting regional limits that only Bricklink and LEGO knew about. As a result, we don't know what they will be for the second lot of 5000, or for Rounds 2 and 3. All I know is that there were a lot of comments at the time from people angry/disappointed that they couldn't order a set because it had sold-out in their region (despite the sets not having reached the 3000 marker at times). Lastly, is there a specific reason why Bricklink/LEGO are waiting until August 3rd to implement their changes? Today is July 8th, so for almost 4 weeks the Designer Program page is just going to sit there ticking it's original Timer down for no reason? Surely it can't take almost a month to sort stuff out?
@bigginsd said:
" @MVives said:
" @bigginsd said:
"are LEGO still going to tell us there is no demand for a Castle theme?"
At what point did LEGO tell us there is no demand for a Castle theme?"
LEGO designers have said in several interviews that they love Classic themes but they need to sell them as one off sets through Creator or Ideas because they can’t support a full theme anymore.
https://www.brickfanatics.com/lego-designer-says-creator-3-in-1-is-the-new-home-of-retro-themes/
"
That's cool. Johnny Thunder has popped up in cmf as well so maybe there's a slim chance they will make a 3-in-1 pyramid/temple/sphynx.
@yacoub said:
"You should include a hyperlink to this Bricklink crowdfund site in the article. I found the site through a google search. Still shows 5k limit on each set. Whenever they update it to 10k, I hope I have a chance to purchase a Castle in the Forest set. Given the history of Lego with things like VIP though, I have a bad feeling I'll simply miss out like always."
Did you even bother to read the article you are commenting on? Clearly said no more castle
Good move by TLG/BL, i guess. Amazing that the Castle sold 10k in about 45mins (I logged in 38mins in, and there was about 30% left).
I DO hope they are NOT going to cancel all multiple orders - I only ordered the Pursuit of Flight, but twice - one for each of my boys (I have no unopened sets nor resell).
My logging in experience was pretty okay, only reloaded two or three times - only strange thing was that to order multiple sets, I had to put each into my shopping bag @ LEGO.com separately, and press back to order/select another one at BL - guess that also applies to the ordering of different sets?
@ericb_ said:
" @ffilz said:
"How can we "solve the problem ourselves"? Why should all the folks who are interested in castles have to "move on" just because the only way Lego produces decent castle sets is limited edition? The 3-in-1 set looks reasonable but doesn't really appeal to me. The 3-in-1 sets just have too many compromises for my tastes."
You can get the instructions and source the parts from your collection and/or Bricklink. You can buy a copy of the set from a Bricklink or ebay seller. You can design and build your own castle. My point is that you don't need someone else to solve your problem. You're perfectly capable of assessing the situation and figuring out a solution that works for you."
And who is going to pay the unique stuff from bricklink? It’s not about the castle itself it’s about the fractions, flags and the prints overall. For example I am a huge fan of castles but the last few lines were garbage, because of the new fractions I couldn’t care less. Yes I can make a castle too but i would like to fill it with you know “castle stuff”. But Lego in the last few years produce less and less castle elements, like helmets, swords, minifigures with good printing (and if the are most of them are new).
So my question is, when we get for example a cmf knight, why it has to be from a new fraction? Why it can’t be an old one? It would boost the nostalgy from afol-s and it would be the same for kids too.
Shame
I was REALLY hoping this was gonna say that they’d be a second chance to get a castle set for those of us who couldn’t get one.
;(
I still don't get why they call the whole thing "crowdfunding", if they have a pre-defined cap on production runs. Aren't they supposed to first collect pre-orders for X time, and then produce enough for everyone? And since upon hitting certain thresholds the cost of goods becomes less, I'd even expect a small GWP (if we hit 5K - two extra knight minifigs, if we hit 10K - two more minifigs and a small side build, etc.).
This also would address the scalper issue and the order limit issue for those who want more than one set (I've ordered two and want them both).
As for the castle theme in general, I'd be happy with the Modular Building approach - one great set per year, and constant availability of specialized parts as a parts pack or on bricks and pieces. I'd even agree to have stickers on shields for that.
But I guess the key phrase was "dilute the exclusivity" - seems like they are moving into the "drops" category (esp given the Adidas collab) and thus the limited supply and f*cked up website problems will never end, since they are an intentional part of the hype. If this is true I sincerely wish them to burn in hell. Note that they said nothing about addressing the problem with working people who'd want to be able to order their stuff at a convenient time. I guess we are not the target audience for these sets and we should grow up and move on?
Unfortunately, in the current LEGO.com setup we are not able to ship to additional countries.
^ This is very unfortunate... Nevermind being sold out before ordering. I did not even get the opportunity to try. :-(
"...we saw a very small number of opportunistic customers hoarding sets and re-selling them for inflated prices. We’re disappointed by this as it wasn’t our intention to enable such behavior."
What absolute rubbish from LEGO... You knowingly allow this behaviour. You encourage it through the constant limited editions across your global enterprise and specific sets targeted at certain ethnic or cultural markets. The statistics you harvest from the two biggest LEGO retailers, LEGO.com and Bricklink, of which you own both, tell you this. Just another poor performance by LEGO. The market is there for you... produce and sell.
"we saw a very small number of opportunistic customers hoarding sets and re-selling them for inflated prices"
is also a highly speculative statement, i.e. we saw, hoarding and re-selling. I can see they could see someone has bought multiples - but they'd not know what they intended to do with them... likewise they can look on Ebay etc and see some for sale - not sure they've had time / inclination to join the two up - although it's reasonable to speculate someone selling on Ebay may have bought multiples- but equally that could be someone who bought just 1... i.e. how many orders of 1 are someone intending to resell at some point? I would bet it's not zero... perhaps they are just generalising an assumption.
Hats off to everyone who has worked towards this answer
That retrospective and actions taken go beyond what I was expecting: Everyone (in previous sentence) is awesome 40516
Huge Thanks
I decided to look at the numbers on this to try and put this programme in perspective of Lego production. So here goes, from the information I can find online.
Lego sells something of the order of 100 billion (that's 9 zeros) parts a year (data from a couple of years ago inflated for recent growth). Assuming an average of 250 pieces per set (reasonable estimate scanning through this year's 600 releases) that's 400million sets. Let's say last year's (around 800) and this year's (600) set are on sale. That's about 300,000 units per set.
Let's look at low-end sales. Say a poor performer is only selling 1 set per week per store, that's around 70,000 (across about 700 Lego stores currently, excluding online sales and other retailers) units. that would be a really poor performer.
To produce any one set, however, takes a fixed effort in terms of things like: planning, test building, producing instructions, creating packaging, shipping etc. And there are only 50,000 units going to be made per round, way lower that even a poor performer from regular lines. For these to compete for resources on an equal footing you'd need to secure 100,000s of sales which is never going to happen and if Lego thought it was going to be that popular, they'd be turning it into a regular production set anyway.
In terms of effort for the company, this would be considered nuisance value. It's the sort of job that most large manufacturing companies would dismiss out of hand (and I know, having dealt with procurement in these sort of relative ranges in the past) as not worth the effort.
Lego are doing AFOLs a big service considering taking these sorts of projects on, on the back of decent support for large numbers of projects over on Ideas and I for one and very glad that they are going to the effort.
People tend to complain that Lego should have known, but they did base their project on the previous one. It's quite surprising then that there's suddenly that much success for this type of campaign, since data from not even 2 years ago said otherwise. If Castle Löwenstein didn't reach that popularity, there's no surprise they couldn't expect this much success this time. So I'd say good for everyone: they did a reasonable estimation which was blown away, and for that we all benefit from a boosted round 1, 2 and 3.
@CapnRex101 said:
"I have to say, there was a discussion about the BrickLink Designer Program during Fan Media Days and Fan Media representatives brought up every issue which would subsequently affect round one, evidently without success.
While I appreciate the willingness to improve things which were not working and honour the extra purchases of Castle in the Forest, such issues should have been anticipated beforehand.
Good on Lego but I find it a bit odd that they allowed people to buy 5 copies and when they did they are now calling them yes holders
Nevertheless, I am pleased that the problems are being rectified now."
Well said cap,
Well done Lego I guess but I do find it odd that they allowed people to buy 5 sets then when they did they called them opportunistic. It doesn't seem like they are going to cancel any of these orders. Lego say that 75% of people only bought one but if the other 25% bought 5 that would mean that the 10,000 sets only went to 5000 people. I know that some people would have just got two but it does show how much it distorts the numbers even if most people only get one set.
Math:
3750x1=3750
1250x5=6250
3750+6250=10,000
3750+1250=5000
3750 is 75% of 5000
1250 is 25% of 5000
Hopefully they got rid of those stupid regional sale limits. Couldn't order the Kakapo as it was "sold out in my region" even though the bird is native to my country.
Secured one castle, one boat and pursuit of flight. Despite the delay, happy to hear that the complaints have been addressed so well (and that a nice box may come).
@SMC said:
" @CapnRex101 said:
"I have to say, there was a discussion about the BrickLink Designer Program during Fan Media Days and Fan Media representatives brought up every issue which would subsequently affect round one, evidently without success.
While I appreciate the willingness to improve things which were not working and honour the extra purchases of Castle in the Forest, such issues should have been anticipated beforehand.
Good on Lego but I find it a bit odd that they allowed people to buy 5 copies and when they did they are now calling them yes holders
Nevertheless, I am pleased that the problems are being rectified now."
Well said cap,
Well done Lego I guess but I do find it odd that they allowed people to buy 5 sets then when they did they called them opportunistic.
.....
"
They could have known on forehand of course, but they stated that they were surprised to see the sets popping up on eBay at inflated prices. That part appears to be unexpected to them.
The five per customer was inexcusable.
@apcsb
“But I guess the key phrase was "dilute the exclusivity" - seems like they are moving into the "drops" category (esp given the Adidas collab) and thus the limited supply and f*cked up website problems will never end, since they are an intentional part of the hype.”
This. I may be wrong, but I have the feeling LEGO wants the hype and encourages shortages and resellers. Marketing is all about how people perceive you. When you get in the news or on social media like we’ve seen in the past few months a) because what you produce is selling for 2-3 times its original price on the secondary market, b) because there are shortages of what you produce because of high demand and c) because collectors advertise the value of their collection, you increase the status of your brand amongst those looking from the outside and thus increase the number of potential wealthy clients. They don’t really care what we, normal AFOLs, think. The number of current AFOLs is WAY smaller than the number of potential AFOLs. It’s those people they are targeting now.
That said, I don’t really mind because I enjoy LEGO many different ways. I build sets and design MOCs, but I also collect minifigs and rare in-box sets, so this program is designed with people like me in mind.
(sorry about the English, it’s not my mother tongue, it’s early and I’m on vacations!)
Well, according to the numbers I saw, more than 5000 single unit orders were placed for the castle. That is more than was originally promised. And an additional 2000 units were sold to another 1000 people. So, looking on the bright side (I know it is not bright for those that did not get one), over 6000 people were able to order 1 or 2. Ignoring the technical issues, it seems that it was going to sell out regardless. If they had limited sales to one per order, it still would have sold out quickly. If there had not been a technical glitch, the numbers suggest that there still would have been availability issues for many.
Unfortunately, the rollout had the issues it did. If there had been a limit of 1 per order, I am guessing that there would not be the same kind of complaints since it would have sold out quickly anyway with 5100 sold already as individual sales and people would have felt like they had been given a fair chance (mostly). As it stands, more than 5000 people were able to order a single set.
Just another view on the single sales. I wish there was not the 10000 limit. This must be a tiny run for production.
I also wonder how many sales some of the bigger Ideas sets have had. Voltron is at the same price point as the Castle. I think Ideas set creators get 3% (maybe 1%) of sales for the entire product run, but the BL set creators get 10% of a fixed run (hopefully the full 10000). It would be interesting to see which is more profitable for the set creators.
@SMC said:
" @CapnRex101 said:
"I have to say, there was a discussion about the BrickLink Designer Program during Fan Media Days and Fan Media representatives brought up every issue which would subsequently affect round one, evidently without success.
While I appreciate the willingness to improve things which were not working and honour the extra purchases of Castle in the Forest, such issues should have been anticipated beforehand.
Good on Lego but I find it a bit odd that they allowed people to buy 5 copies and when they did they are now calling them yes holders
Nevertheless, I am pleased that the problems are being rectified now."
Well said cap,
Well done Lego I guess but I do find it odd that they allowed people to buy 5 sets then when they did they called them opportunistic. It doesn't seem like they are going to cancel any of these orders. Lego say that 75% of people only bought one but if the other 25% bought 5 that would mean that the 10,000 sets only went to 5000 people. I know that some people would have just got two but it does show how much it distorts the numbers even if most people only get one set.
Math:
3750x1=3750
1250x5=6250
3750+6250=10,000
3750+1250=5000
3750 is 75% of 5000
1250 is 25% of 5000"
What they specifically say is "It’s important to point out that 75% of orders for Castle in the Forest were for one set"
Meaming
1 person buys 5 separate orders
Order 1 - Castle
Order 2 - Castle
Order 3 - Castle
Order 4 - Castle
Order 5 - Castle
If user orders 5 "separate" castles, this falls under their "75% of each ORDERS for Castle were for ONE set" - Yet - user ordered 5 sets.
This data point from LEGO is meaningless.
@chromeboy2k said:
" @Shazbolt said:
" @Chilis_no said:
"How is it possible that the Castle did sell 10.000 copies as there was a limit at only 5000 copies…?"
It explained in the post that there was an ordering glitch which allowed it to happen."
That's not an explanation, "
It's probably all the explanation they have at the moment until whatever developer is assigned to fix it finds and patches it.
If I had to guess off the top of my head, the check for maximum quantity was done in such a way that it could be shot past in the right situation, and not checked again until a multiple of the maximum came up. Hence 10,000. They're probably lucky it didn't shoot past that as well and end up at 15,000.
As they say, a happy scalper is a happy Lego
‘It’s important to point out that 75% of orders for Castle in the Forest were for one set– so we’d like to thank you for being considerate of other fans.”
75% of orders is not the same thing as 75% of the production run. That is giving a false sense that 7500 sets are going to individual customers out of the 10000. It looks like they are putting the best face forward on the scalping issue, rather than take an action that may cause them to be sued.
But I may be being cynical.
Of course as I typed this someone laid it out much better right before me.
Its quite easy to go beyond 5000, if the system only assumes you are going to buy 1 set , then the availability will reduce by 1 when you start the process of filling in address and credit card, but at the last second before hitting buy you select 5 then there will be other people who are also in the process of ordering before the system reduces availability by 5! If they have being really careless it may not even reduce by 1 until after you have finished your order!
The original bricklink crowdfunding sets were not that popular as over-priced per piece (compared to usual shop sets) since they were using their own sellers inventory (rather than producing new Lego bricks) and their were imports duties outside of USA. None of this applies this time around, so they should have just sold as Lego Ideas sets and saved all the headaches and heartaches (I need to explain to my son why he cannot have the castle).
@theseasentinel:
I’m pretty sure the two largest LEGO retailers are Walmart and Amazon.
@Shropshire:
If someone only posted one copy for sale, sure, you can’t say for certain that they bought multiple copies. If someone posted five or more copies, on the other hand...
@ambr:
I placed an order for the Nebulon B that went to Backordered status right away, and then got cancelled later on because there wasn’t going to be any restock. If you plug in “5000 units” as the stock inventory, then anything from 5001+ that clears the system should automatically go to Backordered until they can resolve the stock count one way or the other. Once orders switch to Backordered, they can shut off the ability to order an item, so they don’t end up with a sky-high pile of backorders that they’ll just have to cancel later on. The only trick is you need to inform the system of the correct quantity when assigning stock levels.
As multiple folks pointed out above, the most number of single unit orders could be is 6000. But that number is likely much lower. Throw in the fact that single users could place multiple orders, the number gets even lower. I think it’s fairly clear that 50% or more of these castles were bought by folks buying more than one.
Should we congratulate LEGO for listening its fans after the fact?
Everyone posting here seems to be happy with how LEGO is going to handle this. I personally am disappointed that I'll be getting my sets months later than promised.
@rahlmaclaren said:
" @The_Creator said:
"Regardless, we better see a new castle wave in 2023 ala Kingdoms + MMV, otherwise TLG is just beyond obtuse. Maybe some more castle-orientated Ideas sets too, but I'd rather get a full theme."
Kingdom+MMV+ Heroica. Regular knights and armies + civilians + RPG-esque adventurers (rangers, thieves, mages, etc)."
and GOATS
@purpledave [
@Shropshire :
If someone only posted one copy for sale, sure, you can’t say for certain that they bought multiple copies. If someone posted five or more copies, on the other hand...]
I was mostly pointing out the person buying 1 to resell could be a scalper too i.e. deprived a fan of a copy for a quick buck.
@ogel_chicago said:
" @SMC said:
" @CapnRex101 said:
"I have to say, there was a discussion about the BrickLink Designer Program during Fan Media Days and Fan Media representatives brought up every issue which would subsequently affect round one, evidently without success.
While I appreciate the willingness to improve things which were not working and honour the extra purchases of Castle in the Forest, such issues should have been anticipated beforehand.
Good on Lego but I find it a bit odd that they allowed people to buy 5 copies and when they did they are now calling them yes holders
Nevertheless, I am pleased that the problems are being rectified now."
Well said cap,
Well done Lego I guess but I do find it odd that they allowed people to buy 5 sets then when they did they called them opportunistic. It doesn't seem like they are going to cancel any of these orders. Lego say that 75% of people only bought one but if the other 25% bought 5 that would mean that the 10,000 sets only went to 5000 people. I know that some people would have just got two but it does show how much it distorts the numbers even if most people only get one set.
Math:
3750x1=3750
1250x5=6250
3750+6250=10,000
3750+1250=5000
3750 is 75% of 5000
1250 is 25% of 5000"
What they specifically say is "It’s important to point out that 75% of orders for Castle in the Forest were for one set"
Meaming
1 person buys 5 separate orders
Order 1 - Castle
Order 2 - Castle
Order 3 - Castle
Order 4 - Castle
Order 5 - Castle
If user orders 5 "separate" castles, this falls under their "75% of each ORDERS for Castle were for ONE set" - Yet - user ordered 5 sets.
This data point from LEGO is meaningless. "
It don't see the advantage of placing five different orders if it can be done in one order, as was the case. So it seems like a reassuring data point to me.
@Wrecknbuild said:
" @ogel_chicago said:
" @SMC said:
" @CapnRex101 said:
"I have to say, there was a discussion about the BrickLink Designer Program during Fan Media Days and Fan Media representatives brought up every issue which would subsequently affect round one, evidently without success.
While I appreciate the willingness to improve things which were not working and honour the extra purchases of Castle in the Forest, such issues should have been anticipated beforehand.
Good on Lego but I find it a bit odd that they allowed people to buy 5 copies and when they did they are now calling them yes holders
Nevertheless, I am pleased that the problems are being rectified now."
Well said cap,
Well done Lego I guess but I do find it odd that they allowed people to buy 5 sets then when they did they called them opportunistic. It doesn't seem like they are going to cancel any of these orders. Lego say that 75% of people only bought one but if the other 25% bought 5 that would mean that the 10,000 sets only went to 5000 people. I know that some people would have just got two but it does show how much it distorts the numbers even if most people only get one set.
Math:
3750x1=3750
1250x5=6250
3750+6250=10,000
3750+1250=5000
3750 is 75% of 5000
1250 is 25% of 5000"
What they specifically say is "It’s important to point out that 75% of orders for Castle in the Forest were for one set"
Meaming
1 person buys 5 separate orders
Order 1 - Castle
Order 2 - Castle
Order 3 - Castle
Order 4 - Castle
Order 5 - Castle
If user orders 5 "separate" castles, this falls under their "75% of each ORDERS for Castle were for ONE set" - Yet - user ordered 5 sets.
This data point from LEGO is meaningless. "
It don't see the advantage of placing five different orders if it can be done in one order, as was the case. So it seems like a reassuring data point to me."
Boxes easily get damaged. Nearly half my orders from LEGO arrive damaged and crushed at this point.
I bought two copies this way of the Castle and the Ship. Four separate orders. One Castle and Ship for myself and one of Castle and Ship for a friend traveling that day that wouldn't have access to the internet. Mine would count as the 75% but only one PERSON ordered.
Also, I've heard that people trying to order multiple in one order could see the whole order canceled.
@jatonaz said:
"So...basically anyone that missed out on Castle in the Forest is still not going to be able to get one."
Everyone seems to be singing the praises, but this was the main info I got from the article. Well, that and there was a concerted effort to blame “Bricklink” for the problems.
I know a truckload of people, myself included, who wanted that Castle, and ONLY the Castle, from this round. All of us are SOL. That situation has not changed a bit. It was a well-constructed “Sorry people you’re still screwed, maybe next time we’ll get this right.” But that’s what it was.
And hey, glad to see they might do something to get it right-er the next time. Maybe. Their history with online stuff is crap, so I’ll believe it when I see a product I want in my house that I didn’t pay double or triple for on eBay.
Hopefully LEGO will fulfill all the single-set orders first, then start filling the multiple-set orders, starting with orders for 2, then 3, and shipping the orders for 5 sets last.
The software I helped write and still support is used to process orders for the public schools and prisons in New York state, processing hundreds of orders for thousands of cases every day. The orders are confirmed when the ordering systems checks the back-end system to confirm inventory. Its not rocket surgery. It really sounds like LEGO accidentally set the available inventory to 10,000 instead of 5,000 and did not catch it until they had sold out.
If LEGO was actually interested in making enough sets to meet demand, they could take preorders for a set number of days and then bas production on the number of sets ordered. That way everyone who wants one, or three, or thirty could buy them prior to production.
Yes, go ahead and collect payment at the time the order is placed, to guarantee that LEGO gets paid for the sets and avoids getting stiffed by somebody who wants 20 copies today, but does not want them a year from now when the product ships. That should also knock a big dent in the scalper market, since everybody could order as many as they want direct from LEGO at MSRP instead of getting shut out and having to pay through the nose on the secondary market.
@Shropshire:
Sure, but the hardcore scalpers wouldn’t stop at one. An opportunistic person who doesn’t have a flush bank account might only be able to afford one, or someone who was worried about resale value not really moving from MSRP might have opted for the cautious route. Or there might even be people who bought them to build, but then realized how much people are listing them for and decided the money was too tempting.
@Wrecknbuild:
How many LEGO.com orders have you had get your placed on your front steps during a rainstorm?
@ogel_chicago:
If there’s a Limit 5, and you’ve already ordered four previously, placing any order with 2-5 included will reportedly get that entire order cancelled. Adding one to an order would be fine, since that puts you at a combined 5x copies. Placing two orders for 5x, one right after the other would certainly get one cancelled. But if your entire order history is under the limit, you should be fine.
@ogel_chicago I'm surprised (well, not really) that the back-end software LEGO is using does not combine multiple orders being shipped to the same account and address do not get combined for shipping. That's another fairly basic function that my software handles, along with checking quantity limits per customer as described by @PurpleDave.
@PurpleDave I have no data to back it up, but I suspect Target may sell even more LEGO than Walmart. Locally, Walmart has a really pathetic selection on the shelves, and Target has nearly everything available, including Architecture and Ideas sets that I never see at the local Walmart.
@ericb_ said:
" @blogzilly said:
"Everyone seems to be singing the praises, but this was the main info I got from the article. Well, that and there was a concerted effort to blame “Bricklink” for the problems.
I know a truckload of people, myself included, who wanted that Castle, and ONLY the Castle, from this round. All of us are SOL. That situation has not changed a bit. It was a well-constructed “Sorry people you’re still screwed, maybe next time we’ll get this right.” But that’s what it was.
And hey, glad to see they might do something to get it right-er the next time. Maybe. Their history with online stuff is crap, so I’ll believe it when I see a product I want in my house that I didn’t pay double or triple for on eBay.
"
What did LEGO and Bricklink do to make you miss out? Start pre-orders at an inopportune time? Advertise it to more than just their "real" fans, leading to an increased demand?
You're no worse off than you were before. You're actually better off because there will be official instructions. You'll also have the opportunity to buy the set should it appear in the secondary market. Whether or not you choose to source the parts or buy a complete set at a premium is up to you.
"
What LEGO did to cause people to miss out was severely underestimating demand. Yes, they said ahead of time that only 5000 copies would be made. The screwed up and sold 10,000 and they still sold out in under an hour. That's like saying you will bring cupcakes for a school party with 100 kids attending, but you're only going to bring 20 cupcakes.
@AustinPowers said:
"I'm with CapnRex101 totally on this. They could have known of these issues beforehand and tried to resolve them, yet didn't - as per usual.
Good thing they at least have done what they described to partially rectify the problem.
Funny though to read - again - how surprised they were about the popularity of the sets, especially the Castle.
They really seem to have a reality blocker installed in their collective consciousness as they constantly fail to realize how popular Castles still are and what a best-seller a new proper Castle theme would be. Not Nexo Knights or some other lame excuse of a theme but a proper one.
I hope one day they'll get it into those heads of theirs.
I mean, seriously, those 10K sets were gone worldwide in less than 35 minutes! And 75% percent of them apparently went NOT to scalpers thank God. "
not just any castle theme - a fully adult focused castle them. not one of these waves of 6 kids-focused sets that hit all the price points from $15 to $150. But 4-5 sets that range from $80 to $200 that are designed to connect and/or complement each other.
@Lydian_Coda said:
"After much more than a year of items constantly out of stock, GWP fiascos, grossly underestimating demand for "special" sets, and repeated IT failures, it's apparent LEGO is simply incapable of dealing with the issues their customers experience. I rarely look for sets anymore, so perhaps that's more for the rest of you, but my disposable income is going elsewhere now. I'm tired of being disappointed."
You're right, no other company has had issues with this in the last year and a half, no other companies are currently having issues with this, this is solely Lego's issue and there are totally reasonable steps that they can take to solve this problem that no one else has.
@ambr said:
"The original bricklink crowdfunding sets were not that popular as over-priced per piece (compared to usual shop sets) since they were using their own sellers inventory (rather than producing new Lego bricks) and their were imports duties outside of USA. None of this applies this time around, so they should have just sold as Lego Ideas sets and saved all the headaches and heartaches (I need to explain to my son why he cannot have the castle).
"
The original sets were also hand-packed, which would definitely explain the higher price point. They also were not using BL inventory, they got the pieces direct from Lego https://brickset.com/article/38457/bricklink-announces-crowdfunding-design-competition
Couldn't you just explain to your son how to build a castle?
@morvit said:
"As they say, a happy scalper is a happy Lego"
As if Lego gets a cut of the scalper's profit? If anything, people jacking up the prices only serves to deter people. Many people I speak with say that they would be interested except for how expensive it is, and less scalpers would help to ward off that image. I don't get how people get the idea that Lego gets a kick out of scalpers.
i really like the annual or semi-annual idea. make castle an adult-focused theme and do 1-2 big DTC sets each year. basically a continuation of the ideas blacksmith set. i feel very confident based on how well every adult-focused castle set sells, that this plan would be a big success
Honestly, I rather they used the 5000 orders to decide if a project is funded, and then leave the order process open for a few days to allow everyone around the world to place their order.
This is just enabling scalping and leave long time fans out to dry.
Right now I just get increasingly frustrated with every Lego event...
@dougts said:
"i really like the annual or semi-annual idea. make castle an adult-focused theme and do 1-2 big DTC sets each year. basically a continuation of the ideas blacksmith set. i feel very confident based on how well every adult-focused castle set sells, that this plan would be a big success"
A sort of "Medieval Village" subtheme similar to the "Winter Village" subtheme within Creator Expert? I like it!
@Kokan said:
"Honestly, I rather they used the 5000 orders to decide if a project is funded, and then leave the order process open for a few days to allow everyone around the world to place their order."
Because that worked so well last time? The fact that they couldn't clear out the ADP sets is more than enough justification for limiting this run.
Nothing really justifies the 5 per person rule, but the original cap is absolutely defensible. Especially given how the profit margin on these is much lower than typical sets. There's really no reason to just produce an infinite amount of something that's barely worth the time
@tne328 said:
" @dougts said:
"i really like the annual or semi-annual idea. make castle an adult-focused theme and do 1-2 big DTC sets each year. basically a continuation of the ideas blacksmith set. i feel very confident based on how well every adult-focused castle set sells, that this plan would be a big success"
A sort of "Medieval Village" subtheme similar to the "Winter Village" subtheme within Creator Expert? I like it!
"
I like the title! Medieval Village for the Castle section. Space Port for the Space theme, Barracuda Bay for the Pirate section. If they are wanting to appeal to adults now, this would be a great way to do it.
Heck, they can make some kind of shared universe and cartoons based off this stuff. "A lone ship, searching for treasure for decades, crashes on an atoll in the middle of the uncharted Ocean. There, the crew of the Black Seas Barracuda 6285 discover magic and mystery surround them and a portal to unknown worlds! What is in store for Captain Red Beard and his crew of misfits? Tune in next time in Netflix's newest series.
Lego, I have my resume ready ;)
@ericb_ said:
" @blogzilly said:
"Everyone seems to be singing the praises, but this was the main info I got from the article. Well, that and there was a concerted effort to blame “Bricklink” for the problems.
I know a truckload of people, myself included, who wanted that Castle, and ONLY the Castle, from this round. All of us are SOL. That situation has not changed a bit. It was a well-constructed “Sorry people you’re still screwed, maybe next time we’ll get this right.” But that’s what it was.
And hey, glad to see they might do something to get it right-er the next time. Maybe. Their history with online stuff is crap, so I’ll believe it when I see a product I want in my house that I didn’t pay double or triple for on eBay.
"
What did LEGO and Bricklink do to make you miss out? Start pre-orders at an inopportune time? Advertise it to more than just their "real" fans, leading to an increased demand?
You're no worse off than you were before. You're actually better off because there will be official instructions. You'll also have the opportunity to buy the set should it appear in the secondary market. Whether or not you choose to source the parts or buy a complete set at a premium is up to you.
"
The assertions you’re making aren’t in any way related to the actual point of my post. If you want to dust it up about my opinions re: product exclusivity or limited availability, aftermarkets, etc., that’s a different discussion.
@datsunrobbie said:
" @ericb_ said:
" @blogzilly said:
"Everyone seems to be singing the praises, but this was the main info I got from the article. Well, that and there was a concerted effort to blame “Bricklink” for the problems.
I know a truckload of people, myself included, who wanted that Castle, and ONLY the Castle, from this round. All of us are SOL. That situation has not changed a bit. It was a well-constructed “Sorry people you’re still screwed, maybe next time we’ll get this right.” But that’s what it was.
And hey, glad to see they might do something to get it right-er the next time. Maybe. Their history with online stuff is crap, so I’ll believe it when I see a product I want in my house that I didn’t pay double or triple for on eBay.
"
What did LEGO and Bricklink do to make you miss out? Start pre-orders at an inopportune time? Advertise it to more than just their "real" fans, leading to an increased demand?
You're no worse off than you were before. You're actually better off because there will be official instructions. You'll also have the opportunity to buy the set should it appear in the secondary market. Whether or not you choose to source the parts or buy a complete set at a premium is up to you.
"
What LEGO did to cause people to miss out was severely underestimating demand. Yes, they said ahead of time that only 5000 copies would be made. The screwed up and sold 10,000 and they still sold out in under an hour. That's like saying you will bring cupcakes for a school party with 100 kids attending, but you're only going to bring 20 cupcakes."
That in addition to all the site issues they were having. Wouldn’t let me purchase until it was too late to get the castle. From what I have seen and heard this happened to a lot of people. People that were there the minute of release. That isn’t our fault
@ericb_ said:
" @datsunrobbie said:
"What LEGO did to cause people to miss out was severely underestimating demand. Yes, they said ahead of time that only 5000 copies would be made. The screwed up and sold 10,000 and they still sold out in under an hour. That's like saying you will bring cupcakes for a school party with 100 kids attending, but you're only going to bring 20 cupcakes."
What @fakespacesquid said."
If you bring 100 cupcakes one year, and people only eat 20, then it makes sense to bring 20 the following year. This project didn't occur in a vacuum, they had a predecessor round and clearly based their expectations off of those results.
@fakespacesquid said:
" @ericb_ said:
" @datsunrobbie said:
"What LEGO did to cause people to miss out was severely underestimating demand. Yes, they said ahead of time that only 5000 copies would be made. The screwed up and sold 10,000 and they still sold out in under an hour. That's like saying you will bring cupcakes for a school party with 100 kids attending, but you're only going to bring 20 cupcakes."
What @fakespacesquid said."
If you bring 100 cupcakes one year, and people only eat 20, then it makes sense to bring 20 the following year. This project didn't occur in a vacuum, they had a predecessor round and clearly based their expectations off of those results. "
Which is why I suggested taking orders for a set number of days and then producing sets to cover those orders. If only 500 people pre-pay for the set, only make 500 copies. If 100,000 people pre-pay, make 100,000 copies.
@datsunrobbie said:
" @fakespacesquid said:
" @ericb_ said:
" @datsunrobbie said:
"What LEGO did to cause people to miss out was severely underestimating demand. Yes, they said ahead of time that only 5000 copies would be made. The screwed up and sold 10,000 and they still sold out in under an hour. That's like saying you will bring cupcakes for a school party with 100 kids attending, but you're only going to bring 20 cupcakes."
What @fakespacesquid said."
If you bring 100 cupcakes one year, and people only eat 20, then it makes sense to bring 20 the following year. This project didn't occur in a vacuum, they had a predecessor round and clearly based their expectations off of those results. "
Which is why I suggested taking orders for a set number of days and then producing sets to cover those orders. If only 500 people pre-pay for the set, only make 500 copies. If 100,000 people pre-pay, make 100,000 copies. "
Lego isn't exactly a t-shirt company, production runs are nowhere near that simple. The castle has 2,000 pieces and 557 unique elements. That's 557 production runs. You can't just crank the nozzle between 500 and 100,000 no problem, especially when the profit margin on these is much lower than regular sets AND they can already barely keep up with existing demand. Slowing the production of popular, regular-margin things like Harry Potter or Star Wars so that they can do random numbers of very-low-margin sets makes negative sense. There's a clear reason that Lego has done next to no crowdfunding-type projects before, it just barely fits with their business model. Regular sets are planned 1.5-2 years in advance so that they can maximize the efficiency of the production runs. I'd bet my collection that most people aren't interested in waiting 2 years for their castle
Also, "pre-pay" doesn't really fit here. No one pays a cent until the products ship
@datsunrobbie said:
" @fakespacesquid said:
" @ericb_ said:
" @datsunrobbie said:
"What LEGO did to cause people to miss out was severely underestimating demand. Yes, they said ahead of time that only 5000 copies would be made. The screwed up and sold 10,000 and they still sold out in under an hour. That's like saying you will bring cupcakes for a school party with 100 kids attending, but you're only going to bring 20 cupcakes."
What @fakespacesquid said."
If you bring 100 cupcakes one year, and people only eat 20, then it makes sense to bring 20 the following year. This project didn't occur in a vacuum, they had a predecessor round and clearly based their expectations off of those results. "
Which is why I suggested taking orders for a set number of days and then producing sets to cover those orders. If only 500 people pre-pay for the set, only make 500 copies. If 100,000 people pre-pay, make 100,000 copies. "
This program does not take place in a vacuum. Like any other companies, LEGO does not have limitless manufacturing capacities. LEGO can only produce x number of sets a year and they’ll focus on the most profitable ones from their own series (City, SW, Ninjago, etc.) before making niche sets. Plus, the production schedule is set months and even years in advance. If making an additional 5,000 copies pushed back the schedule by six months, imagine making an additional 95,000. You’d get your set in 2028. And in the mean time, LEGO would not get a dime because these sets are paid upon shipping.
@fakespacesquid said:
" @ericb_ said:
" @datsunrobbie said:
"What LEGO did to cause people to miss out was severely underestimating demand. Yes, they said ahead of time that only 5000 copies would be made. The screwed up and sold 10,000 and they still sold out in under an hour. That's like saying you will bring cupcakes for a school party with 100 kids attending, but you're only going to bring 20 cupcakes."
What @fakespacesquid said."
If you bring 100 cupcakes one year, and people only eat 20, then it makes sense to bring 20 the following year. This project didn't occur in a vacuum, they had a predecessor round and clearly based their expectations off of those results. "
There are way more variables though. The first round occurred a few years ago and multiple things have changed.
Because of LEGO’s acquisition of Bricklink they have been able to significantly market and promote the designer program to a significant degree. Many people didn’t know about the first round but became significantly more aware, and increased the popularity because of all the marketing.
Also, the sets are much better priced this round than last round, and are better known because they are ideas sets that reached 10k votes, while the sets in the first round, weren’t as good or popular.
@Jman007 said:
" " @fakespacesquid said:
If you bring 100 cupcakes one year, and people only eat 20, then it makes sense to bring 20 the following year. This project didn't occur in a vacuum, they had a predecessor round and clearly based their expectations off of those results. "
There are way more variables though. The first round occurred a few years ago and multiple things have changed.
Because of LEGO’s acquisition of Bricklink they have been able to significantly market and promote the designer program to a significant degree. Many people didn’t know about the first round but became significantly more aware, and increased the popularity because of all the marketing.
Also, the sets are much better priced this round than last round, and are better known because they are ideas sets that reached 10k votes, while the sets in the first round, weren’t as good or popular. "
What marketing, exactly? They mentioned it a couple of times on the Ideas blog, not sure that readership is massive. Not a single mention on Lego.com or their FB page. The only real marketing was done on Bricklink, which is exactly where the previous round took place.
They probably made an effort to choose sets that would be relatively successful, but hitting 10k on Ideas isn't exactly a stamp of "better known," exhibit A: https://ideas.lego.com/projects/1e128600-405c-4cd4-a263-e8d27294e3a6
I would also strongly disagree with the first round being not as good
The pricing on this round is also a reason to make less of them, not bend over backwards to make tons of sets with a much thinner margin than usual
@datsunrobbie said:
" @ericb_ said:
" @blogzilly said:
"Everyone seems to be singing the praises, but this was the main info I got from the article. Well, that and there was a concerted effort to blame “Bricklink” for the problems.
I know a truckload of people, myself included, who wanted that Castle, and ONLY the Castle, from this round. All of us are SOL. That situation has not changed a bit. It was a well-constructed “Sorry people you’re still screwed, maybe next time we’ll get this right.” But that’s what it was.
And hey, glad to see they might do something to get it right-er the next time. Maybe. Their history with online stuff is crap, so I’ll believe it when I see a product I want in my house that I didn’t pay double or triple for on eBay.
"
What did LEGO and Bricklink do to make you miss out? Start pre-orders at an inopportune time? Advertise it to more than just their "real" fans, leading to an increased demand?
You're no worse off than you were before. You're actually better off because there will be official instructions. You'll also have the opportunity to buy the set should it appear in the secondary market. Whether or not you choose to source the parts or buy a complete set at a premium is up to you.
"
What LEGO did to cause people to miss out was severely underestimating demand. Yes, they said ahead of time that only 5000 copies would be made. The screwed up and sold 10,000 and they still sold out in under an hour. That's like saying you will bring cupcakes for a school party with 100 kids attending, but you're only going to bring 20 cupcakes."
You can't work free cupcakes into this... That would make the castle in the forest a free sub you missed out on at the office lunch.
If you want your analogy to work it would be "That's like saying you will bring $30.00 toys to sell for a school party with 100 kids attending, but you're only going to bring 20 toys.". Not every kid can afford the toy and as I teach my son each day you can't always get what you want. This happens a lot with things like Toys R Us take and plays, sometimes we get there in time, other times we miss out. Disappointment is something I would hope most of you (assuming your adults) should be able to cope with without the tantrums. God knows my 10 year handles it better then some on these boards.
Maybe in the future they should just do regular pre-orders within a specific timeframe and produce exactly as many as were ordered (or there about). Like how other toy companies aimed at collectors, like Super7, approach it. That way it'll still be exclusive, being a set that's offered only a limited time, but they'll make more money by producing as many sets as they can possibly sell (additionally, it'll reduce production costs, meaning more profit) and it'll reduce aftermarket madness, that serves nobody except greedy scalpers. Why try to reinvent the wheel?
@ericb_ said:
" @blogzilly said:
"The assertions you’re making aren’t in any way related to the actual point of my post. If you want to dust it up about my opinions re: product exclusivity or limited availability, aftermarkets, etc., that’s a different discussion."
I apologize if I misinterpreted your post. You paraphrased the press release as “Sorry people you’re still screwed, maybe next time we’ll get this right.” I ask, what did LEGO or Bricklink do wrong to make you miss out? The FAQ they released prior to Round 1 clearly state how it would work.
I understand how you could be disappointed. We're probably not going to change each other's opinion, but it seems so clear to me that having an unrealistic expectation is the real problem. Same with the Ulysses space probe. And Comic Con sets and figures. And regional exclusives. And the coins. And leaks/rumors that don't pan out as one had hoped."
As I previously explained, my commentary is on their press release. There is a high probability they feel as if they screwed up, or they may not have released such a detailed and apologetic presser. I never said that “they” screwed “me”, or that I feel I was wronged. I also, if you’ll note, gave them props for at least promising to “try” to get it right the next time, though I also expressed my doubt.
I don’t intend to have an argument over product exclusivity and limited availability.
I think you’ve painted me with a broad brush that lacks detail. When I went to the site my expectations were very, very low. I own a couple of pieces from the first AFOL Designer wave and thought I’d be fortunate to get 1 from this round. Clearly I wanted the Castle the most, but did I think I was getting it? No. No more than I think I’m getting an SDCC piece. Figured maybe an 8% chance. So I had no unrealistic expectations, no emotional letdown.
My issues frankly are mostly about the overall handling of this particular “sales event”, it’s poor execution, and the non-response (as it pertains to those people who were prohibited in the present from being able to participate for whatever reason) by the organization.
More than anything this shows the demand for a well designed "UCS" level castle. I've been asking for that for years. While the Medieval Blackmith is great, and the Castle in the Forest is great too, I think they can do even better, and I would pay $500 for an awesome 4000 piece castle set that had the same love put into it as Ninjago City, Docks, and Gardens - all of which I own even though I care nothing for Ninjago as a story. I think many others would too.
@Chilis_no said:
"How is it possible that the Castle did sell 10.000 copies as there was a limit at only 5000 copies…?"
It was a glitch in the system
@GabeTheBuilder1 said:
" @Chilis_no said:
"How is it possible that the Castle did sell 10.000 copies as there was a limit at only 5000 copies…?"
It was a glitch in the system"
A "glitch" that only affected one set? I don't believe it was an actual technology glitch. I think it was intentional doubling but now with the complaints, they decided to apply it to the other 4 and "look good" in the PR sense.
@tne328:
A Winter Village castle might be a more reasonable expectation. WV is a family tradition, to the point that their phones blew up when they rereleased the toy store. Christmas villages often have some sort of castle-like element (in Michigan, I know Canterbury Village does, but I’m not sure about Frankenmuth), so it’s not really a stretch for the theme, and it would open up some new possibilities.
@fakespacesquid:
The distinction that was ignored is that the ADP sets were just very expensive MOCs. These are official LEGO sets, which really opens up the potential market.
@PurpleDave said:
" @fakespacesquid:
The distinction that was ignored is that the ADP sets were just very expensive MOCs. These are official LEGO sets, which really opens up the potential market."
In what sense? I don't recall whether or not these will get numbered but they're hardly less official than the ADP rounds. If anything, it seems like these got even fewer edits than the ADP sets did, Lego barely altered the designs outside of the directive to only use active elements. And whether or not the market was opened, they didn't use the opening. It wasn't advertised anywhere that the ADP wasn't except for the Ideas blog. If they had plastered it on lego.com then that point would make sense but there wasn't really any fanfare anywhere
"Unfortunately, this also limits the countries to which we can ship."
This is pathetic coming from Bricklink, whose merchants sell all over the world, and I'm sorry but I don't believe it's an honest answer.
Decades ago, LEGO decided to sell directly to merchants in selected countries only.
For the rest of us, it still means inflated prices due to exclusive middlemen importers who charge whatever cut they please. The results are prices that are 100% to 200% higher in my country as well as many many other places.
The absurdity is that BrickLink is a part of the solution for many of us, as we can find good prices there and only have to worry about shipping.
And now that BrickLink was bought by LEGO--surprise surprise--it's wonderful Designer Program no longer sells all over the world.
I'm deeply disappointed with BrickLink/LEGO, who didn't even bother to commit to a change in the future.
@fakespacesquid:
The ADP sets were produced by an independent Bricklink. These sets are produced by a Bricklink that’s under the LEGO Group umbrella. ADP were not LEGO-branded, while these will be. That logo makes all the difference in the world.
Whatever number they limit it to, based on their marketing and production capacity, as long as they limit orders to just 3/customer…one to open, one to keep sealed, and one just in case. ;)
@PurpleDave said:
" @fakespacesquid:
The ADP sets were produced by an independent Bricklink. These sets are produced by a Bricklink that’s under the LEGO Group umbrella. ADP were not LEGO-branded, while these will be. That logo makes all the difference in the world."
How much difference does it make if these will never see shelves?
Just saw this:
https://www.brickfanatics.com/lego-has-taken-action-against-bricklink-designer-program-scalpers/amp/&ved=2ahUKEwim65OEwNbxAhW18uAKHSS1A3UQFnoECAYQAQ&usg=AOvVaw3kMO0jLceUkQDQdctGnmQs&cf=1&cshid=1625851429985
Interesting.
@AustinPowers said:
"Just saw this:
https://www.brickfanatics.com/lego-has-taken-action-against-bricklink-designer-program-scalpers/amp/&ved=2ahUKEwim65OEwNbxAhW18uAKHSS1A3UQFnoECAYQAQ&usg=AOvVaw3kMO0jLceUkQDQdctGnmQs&cf=1&cshid=1625851429985
Interesting. "
Every Ebay listing has a "report item" link (RHS of the description and price tabs near the bottom) which we can all use. Ok, getting a more direct complaint from TLG will probably carry more weight but you can do your bit as well.
@1265 said:
" @legoDad42 said:
"Whatever number they limit it to, based on their marketing and production capacity, as long as they limit orders to just 3/customer…one to open, one to keep sealed, and one just in case. ;)"
Going forward, max order limit is 1 set per customer. It states that in the article."
Whoosh...lol.
I think I'm with @gylman and @fakespacesquid, in that I view these BDP sets and especially the Castle In The Forest as "really nice MOCs" regardless of whether LEGO owns their distribution pipeline. Someone can correct me, but I don't believe that the BDP products include any exclusive pieces, prints or recolors, which means that they can easily be sourced on Bricklink without needing to buy any as "sets." I am a huge Castle fan (see my handle!), and I purchased the Blacksmith on Day One, but I had no real interest in buying the CITF.
> "
https://www.brickfanatics.com/lego-has-taken-action-against-bricklink-designer-program-scalpers/amp/&ved=2ahUKEwim65OEwNbxAhW18uAKHSS1A3UQFnoECAYQAQ&usg=AOvVaw3kMO0jLceUkQDQdctGnmQs&cf=1&cshid=1625851429985 "
That's compounding the problem they (Lego) created. Not only did they choose a stupid way to offer the product, now they're penalizing the people who actually managed to get it and are willing to sell it to others. Typical ignorance of market economics.
What they need to do is a proper pre-order, open for a period of time with no artificial limit on the total number produced. When it closes, they know exactly how many to make and they plan how long to produce however many the consumers pre-ordered. Everyone who wanted one and paid for it will receive it and the date of arrival is determined by when they will have them all produced.
It's not a difficult concept how to do a pre-order properly in 2021. Lego is so screwed up (as evidenced by their VIP nonsense on their own web storefront) and now they're spreading their incompetence to BrickLink.
@Shazbolt said:
" @Chilis_no said:
"How is it possible that the Castle did sell 10.000 copies as there was a limit at only 5000 copies…?"
It explained in the post that there was an ordering glitch which allowed it to happen."
https://www.brickfanatics.com/lego-and-bricklink-accidentally-sold-10000-castle-in-the-forest-sets/
@ericb_ said:
" Ebay policy is preventing people from selling them right now, not LEGO."
In case you hadn't noticed, the article is about Lego stating they plan to take action against people trying to resell something they legitimately purchased with their own money and have every right to offer to sell at whatever price they please. The asking price will come down until it meets a buyer willing to pay it. That's how markets work when they're not artificially manipulated.
"Have you considered the possibility that LEGO and Bricklink made a sensible decision to limit the number of sets produced?"
No, there is nothing sensible about how Lego operated this and continues to not fix it satisfactorily. They've disenfranchised a large portion of their customers with the goofy way they offered these sets, and in particular the Castle set for which they allegedly accidentally took in double the amount supposed to go through in a glitch (which still isn't anywhere close to enough to satisfy demand), then treated it differently than the other less-popular sets that they doubled the quantity for which opened them back up for more people to order, but didn't add more quantity to the Castle set so it did not open back up in a similar manner that would have allowed more people to purchase it. Just really trash decision-making by them all the way around it.
"It's not difficult to conclude that they know how to run their companies better than anyone here."
They've proven on multiple occasions just this past year that they don't make wise decisions with how they go to market with Lego sets, in particular limited items like VIP items, to which this incident has unfortunate similarities that it shouldn't if they'd learned any lessons from the VIP fiascos.
There are also two truths everyone does know: (1) Higher production volume = lower cost per unit, so more is nearly always better, even if it means shifting their production roadmap of some generic boring retail set to accommodate selling more of this very popular, high demand one-time-run set. (2) They make more money the more they sell. There is no good reason to not pre-sell and produce more of a high demand, one-time popular set while it is popular and in high demand. They can push the release for the next generic City Cops & Robbers set (or whatever other dumb generic filler set they've always got a few of in the pipeline) into 2022 or 2023 and nobody loses, meanwhile producing more of the Castle set and everybody wins.
Maybe I miswrote... I am not saying they should produce an infinite amount of sets. I am asking for them to produce only the amount that the fans pre-order.
They could use a certain amount to decide if the set is manufactured. Once funded, they could leave the process open for a while longer to allow everyone that wants the set to pre-order.
By doing so, they wouldn't have any extra stock to handle.
Scalpers would be less likely to buy a bunch of these items, preventing the people that really want the sets from buying.
@yacoub said:
" @ericb_ said:
" Ebay policy is preventing people from selling them right now, not LEGO."
In case you hadn't noticed, the article is about Lego stating they plan to take action against people trying to resell something they legitimately purchased with their own money and have every right to offer to sell at whatever price they please."
Interestingly enough, in Germany there is actually a law against selling stuff at overly inflated prices (§138 BGB, colloquially known as "Wucherparagraph", with Wucher meaning usury or profiteering). It is considered quite a serious offense by the way. Might be different in the US of course.
While I only bought 1 each of the sets I wanted this time around, I am a bit disappointed with the limit of 1 for the future. I think 2 would have been better for many AFOLs: one to build, one to treasure :-)
Oh well, it's all good. LEGO is so much more interesting these days than it was even a decade ago, let alone 20 or 30 years ago.
@AustinPowers said:
" @yacoub said:
" @ericb_ said:
" Ebay policy is preventing people from selling them right now, not LEGO."
In case you hadn't noticed, the article is about Lego stating they plan to take action against people trying to resell something they legitimately purchased with their own money and have every right to offer to sell at whatever price they please."
Interestingly enough, in Germany there is actually a law against selling stuff at overly inflated prices (§138 BGB, colloquially known as "Wucherparagraph", with Wucher meaning usury or profiteering). It is considered quite a serious offense by the way. Might be different in the US of course. "
Yes, I'm sure there are anti-market laws in some countries. The irony of such laws is who defines, in this case, "overly inflated". It's arbitrary and thus open to bias, mis-use and manipulation. That's why such laws are dangerous. :)
So there will be no chance in getting the castle in the forest. Unbelievable. The best design I have seen for years and it sells out in minutes, leaving hundreds of disappointed customers. What a bad joke. :(
No, this scarcity will not help the brand - it has a danger of hurting the brand! Do this stupid limitation often enough and frustrated people will walk away from you! I am still upset! This will not be forgotten.
Well LEGO con now this
@fakespacesquid:
How many ADP sets sold 10k units in half an hour? How many total ADP sets combined sold in half an hour? You've already seen the impact. There was a feeding frenzy for the castle, the boat sold 5k units before many people even logged on, and two more were capped out at 5k before the end of the day. Only the Kakapo had some stock left available, but I'm not sure what region(s) still had access. If they hadn't put regional caps on quantity, and/or if they had made these available to any country where Bricklink is capable of operating, they could have sold out even faster.
@yacoub:
Once you've bought something, they can't prevent you from reselling it if you choose. However, there are two actions they can legally take, for sure. They can report any auction that violates eBay's ToS (and they can pay people to scour the site for any offending auctions). They can also try to find out which buyers are linked to these extremely early pre-sales and cut them off from being able to buy any product directly from The LEGO Company. That means no sales at LEGO Stores, no sales through LEGO.com, and no wholesale purchasing as a business. This is something they've done to several people in the past. I remember one person saying they cut him off after he bragged to a Customer Service rep about how he was going to flip some hot new set for a profit on eBay. That rep reported him to their superior, and anything connected to that customer got flagged to prevent any future sales. To get around that, you'd need to get a new shipping address, get a name change, and get a new method of payment.
@Straight_6 said:
"So there will be no chance in getting the castle in the forest. Unbelievable. The best design I have seen for years and it sells out in minutes, leaving hundreds of disappointed customers. What a bad joke. :(
No, this scarcity will not help the brand - it has a danger of hurting the brand! Do this stupid limitation often enough and frustrated people will walk away from you! I am still upset! This will not be forgotten."
Such a shame that apparently Crowdfunding wasn't understood by Lego and instead it was a lottery how many got through a glitchy website and underpowered server infrastructure. A shame that BrickLink/Lego doesn't want our money.
@magykfyre said:
"Good to see!!! Great that they are acknowledging the scalpers. Hopefully they know this is an issue for some other sets too."
LEGO has known about 'scalpers' for years and have done nothing (or the SDCC limits likely would not have been 3 per account). One could argue they have known about 'scalpers' since the Minecraft mini world -Forest debacle (or the Research institute debacle a few years later). Heck if LEGO cared about 'scalping', SDCC sets would not be super limited to just one comic convention on the planet when they could easily see how much people were flipping the figures or sets for.
Look, nothing that occurred in the first round should have surprised LEGO, nothing. Anyone that was 'surprised' should be fired. All of these problems have been mirrored at LEGO's main site for years now. including Site reliability, demand of product (ie production numbers), and scalpers, among the main one issues.
Is it good they are acknowledging it? Sure.
Good that they are fixing it? Absolutely.
Should LEGO have had this planned so none of these known issues would be issues in the first place? Undoubtedly!!
Oh, and if they wanted to ensure that everyone that ordered one of the castle sets get one, they could have simply cancelled every set ordered past '1' to make it only a limit of one and they likely would not have had to make more... For LEGO to just make 5K more, that's pretty good of them. Though one could argue they should have cancelled all ordered beyond one per account and then opened up that other 5K to others that obviously wanted one of those but could not get one (and no, I did not care to order any of these).
I would be curious to know what a large run for Lego is (sales numberwise). I know Lego brings in a lot of revenue, but I also wonder how these BL sets compare. At 10000 units each (round 1), they can bring in almost $5M USD. Then there will be the other rounds for other sets. I know the designers get a 10% cut (good for you povoq, and the others) and things are done differently than normal sets, but I can't help but wonder how profitable this program really is for Lego. It might be great, but it might be less than their usual lines, despite the vocal fans desiring unlimited production. Obviously I have no way to know how Lego runs their business or why they make decisions. It would just be interesting to see behind the curtain regarding these types of numbers.
I can only assume that $5M for 5 sets is small for Lego (but direct to customer may change that perspective). Without knowing the reasons for the decisions, it appears to me that Lego either underestimated demand, or were not willing to take a risk on this program yet due to production vs profitability.
Despite all the conjecture about why Lego does things, I have noticed a pattern over the last 40 years. That pattern is to test the waters before diving in. Often they have had less successful product lines that seem to be inspiration for future successful ones. I know that does not translate to programs, exactly, but I can see them creating a better program like this in the future (maybe I am wrong). In the end, I do not know what their biggest customer base is. I hear many say that the AFOL community is their biggest base. Who knows? Many, many sets are sold to kids. And many of the same sets are sold to adults. But I do not know if Lego knows how to parse that information when trying a pilot program directed at collectors/AFOLs. I hope this program can become a great thing with smooth operation in the future. It also makes me wonder what kind of production numbers (expected and real) they have with their Ideas line, and how that compares to their expectations for this program. It does suck that they may be cutting their teeth with these awesome sets, though.
Still, they sell 10k copies and multiple people (myself included) weren't able to order one...so that stinks.
And I understand the first time they did this wasn't as huge of an outpour of fans, but then again none of the first time sets were as good as this new castle set was, so there's that...
I didn't even attempt to buy any the first time they did it a few years ago because of lack of interest. The ONE set I was interested in this year for the program was sold out immediately, so I guess it doesn't matter. They made their money, they can't please us all.
I understand the logistics of selling extra sets doesn't mean they can produce extra sets, especially immediately since they have other things that also need production time. Still, upsetting considering they sold twice as many as expected and still could have sold more. 25% were for multiple copies!! (Not all were for reselling, but still, that shows an interest in this particular set or theme).
Oh well, par for the course...
@ryan_c_byrd:
Sometime after the VIP program enabled them to more accurately track purchases (and who they’re intended for), they did reveal how the kid/AFOL breakdown sat. They claimed AFOLs accounted for a small (5%?) minority of overall sales, while many AFOLs were convinced we buy more than parents do for their kids. The numbers have likely changed with the released of The LEGO Movie, launches and retirement of several themes, and the push to make more AFOL-targeted sets and themes, but the results at that time showed that AFOLs were buying about 25% of all product for personal use. However much the numbers may have shifted since then, I’m highly doubtful that they’ve changed enough for AFOLs to make up for a 3:1 deficit. If anything, TLM probably caused a surge in sales to and on behalf of kids that has not fully gone away.
Lego.com do send replacement parts to many countries, so why can't they accept purchases from those countries as well?
I don't see how increasing the production of lesser wanted models is going to help anything. If anything, they'll end with surpluses which will make them take (once again) bad decisions in the future (remember these decisions were based on the previous Bricklink program of 2018).
If you are selling 5 items (for example) and the demand is 60% for item 1 and 10% each for item 2-5, logic would tell you to produce item 1 in (significantly) larger proportion than all other items.
As mentioned above this stems from Lego's blatant refusal to recognize that Legacy themes (Castle, Pirates, Space) are in high demand.